Snapshot of the Secret War

Since the Islamic revolution of 1979, most Western countries, sometimes with UN backing, have tried to prevent Iran from obtaining embargoed military materials, especially anything that could assist Tehran’s nuclear program. This is a big deal in SpookWorld as many Western intelligence agencies try to stem Iran’s vast network of front companies from illegally buying contraband goods. There is a great deal of cooperation in this field, though it is seldom spoken of openly, as few countries want Iran to be better armed than it already is.

Keeping export controls in place, however, is tricky in practice because intelligence is seldom perfect, the Iranians are cunning and determined, and there are always people willing to break the law for enough money, which Tehran has plenty of when it comes to top-priority matters such as arms acquisition and its WMD program.

Germany has long been a major player in this secret struggle, thanks to its enormous export economy and the quality goods it manufactures better than anyone. German firms are highly sought after by the Iranians, and as a result Berlin’s intelligence services, including its Foreign Intelligence Service (BND) and its domestic security service (BfV), put a lot of effort into thwarting Iran’s illicit acquisition efforts from German firms. Germany’s export control agency (BAFA) plays a large role in this process, which is imperfect and subject to corruption. This murky process is messy and may have even gotten a top German politician assassinated.

Little of this story generally appears in the media, though a current trial in Hamburg has offered a rare glimpse into the secret struggle that is waged every day without the public having any real clue of what’s going on. The case is fascinating, involving as it does three men – one German and two others of Iranian origin – who are charged with exporting 92 German-produced specialized valves for use in Iran’s Arak plutonium reactor and arranging the shipment of 856 nuclear-usable valves from India to Iran in 2010-11. The report, by the German scholar Matthias Küntzel, is worth quoting at length:

The reasons why the UN Security Council has ordered Iran to halt the construction of the Arak reactor are compelling. If this nuclear plant comes online in 2014, as the Iranians anticipate, it could produce enough weapons-grade plutonium for two bombs a year. The smuggling of nuclear valves from Germany is therefore of exceptional significance and tops the latest UN list of reported alleged violations of the sanction regime against Iran.

Recently, an important detail of this smuggling operation was revealed on the German public television current affairs program, Fakt: “German officials clearly (knew) about this illegal trade since 2009 and did nothing about it for years.” How so? Did such an explosive shipment really take place before the very eyes of the German security services?

Wishing to learn more, I installed myself in the empty public auditorium of the Hamburg Palace of Justice, where, on August 2, Stefan M., from the Cologne branch of the Customs Criminological Office (CCO) was called to the witness stand. He testified that the name of Hossein Tanideh, a senior agent for the Iranian nuclear program, had been known to the CCO since 2009. While introducing himself in Germany as a refinery manager, Tanideh was in fact the organizer of the transport of the valves to Iran via front companies in Turkey and Azerbaijan. He is currently on remand in Istanbul. In 2009, the U.S. began to issue alerts about Tanideh.

Did the American alerts “arrive on your desk more frequently or more rarely?” Stefan M. was asked. “Somewhere in between” he replied. “I did not get one every month.” Were there contacts with the U.S.? The CCO has “no direct line to information-providing states.” If Washington sent something, it was filed away for “routine treatment.”

In 2011, the U.S. realized that most of the valves were already at or on their way to Arak. Washington was furious. On October 12, 2011, three State Department representatives, an official of the Department of Energy, and a U.S. embassy representative arrived at the German Foreign Ministry.

Participating in this two-hour crisis meeting on the German side were representatives of the Foreign Office, the Economic and Finance Ministries, and the CCO’s Stefan M.

The U.S. had asked for a meeting about the “Tanideh issue,” declared Stefan M. “I got the impression that there were expectations. What have you done? Were the alerts taken seriously or not?” The German side attempted to show that “something is being done.” In fact, monitoring of the defendant’s calls only began five months after the meeting – in March 2012.

The accused valve manufacturer, Rudolf M., had been on the German radar since 2009. Firstly, the Federal Office of Economics and Export Control (BAFA) inquired as to whether he was intending to export anything to Iran. Then officers of the Bundesamt für Verfassungsschutz (BfV), the German domestic intelligence service, dropped in and observed his conspicuously evasive responses to mentions of Iran. They wrote in a 2009 report that “the valve manufacturer is the source of a proliferation danger.”

In 2010, the suspicions grew stronger. In May, the German firm AUMA broke off its business relationship with Rudolf M. explaining that “we know from reliable sources that you intend to send goods to Iran.” So why did the first consignments of valves go to Iran that very same year?

Stefan M. described his department’s attitude thus: “When I get a proliferation alert, my point of departure is always: this German firm is clean. BAFA works in the same way… their assumption is that the firms are credulous.”

Question from the judge: is this not a matter of prevention? Shouldn’t you immediately respond to the alerts rather than believing in the goodness of the businessman?

“It would be counter-productive to assume per se that every German firm mentioned in an alert is involved in criminal activity.”

So what should not have happened, happened. On September 8, 2011, BAFA authorized the export of more valves by Rudolf M. to Hossein Tanideh’s undercover business operation.

Germany’s security services, however, were well aware of the Iranian tricks. “Some 100 front companies are involved in the illegal export of arms to Iran”, the President of the CCO stated back in 2005.

To this very day, “technology ‘Made in Germany’ is highly sought after for the development of the Iranian nuclear weapons program,” CCO President Norbert Drude declared recently. In 2012, 136 preliminary investigations were initiated in relation to breaches of German export regulations. “According to the Senior Customs Officer, three-quarters of these cases concern the Mullahs’ regime in Tehran.”

For Tehran, what we refer to as nuclear smuggling is a component of government policy. The Iranian regime views the sanctions as a machination of the Great and Little Satans, the USA and Israel, and violating them as a part of an economic jihad. “The easiest way to evade the sanctions,” we learn from a recent study by the Iranian Parliament, is for “a person or company to change the name and address of the affected company.”

We have to therefore assume that the Iranian embassy in Berlin directs and coordinates the nuclear smuggling, and that it also greases official palms. There are plenty of examples from the recent past that provide food for thought.

For instance, in 2007, Gert-René Polli, the long-serving chief of the Austrian intelligence services, was dismissed because of his suspiciously close ties to senior figures in the Iranian secret service. Polli’s department had previously “simply ignored a shopping trip to Austria by Iranian buyers of nuclear weapons components,” the Austrian media reported.

Then there is “Sinbad,” an Iranian who worked under this pseudonym for the German intelligence service BND for ten years, and a total remuneration of one million euros. Then it emerged that Sinbad had been smuggling missile components to Iran and was allegedly a double agent for Tehran. “Sinbad” was arrested and sentenced to three years imprisonment by a Berlin court in May 2009.

However, “the legal authorities, the accused, and the BND [agreed] that the case should be dealt with without a main hearing. In return, after the verdict, ‘Sinbad’ would leave Germany,” reported Der Spiegel at the time.

What a story. Smuggling, spies, dirty money, hints of deep corruption, and a million-dollar double agent code-named SINBAD … hold for film rights. In the meantime, let’s hope that the German justice system gets to the bottom of this case and sets a precedent for more effective counterproliferation by myriad agencies and interests when it comes to Iran. The stakes are high.

Comments

9 comments on “Snapshot of the Secret War”
  1. mrmeangenes says:

    Excellent post. Have posted a link to it on my site.

    Have been looking a bit more closely at Iran of late ; especially their “subsidies” program – which, because of sanctions -and also because of grotesque mismanagement on their part, seems about to implode their economy.

    I’m beginning to wonder if the ruling Ayatollahs are operating from an “end times” rationale ; eg: It doesn’t matter how much deeper into debt we plunge, because the world will end before the bill comes due.

    1. 20committee says:

      Thanks — glad you liked it. I’d rather not ponder the end-times thing but …

      1. Yeah, if you don’t ponder end times things you can more easily ponder war with Iran. But it doesn’t work that way because Israel’s Waterloo will be war with Iran.

  2. mrmeangenes says:

    I had a secondary thought on the subsidies : What if a large portion of the money so allocated is actually “black budget” ?

  3. Tanka says:

    It’s never been in Germany’s interest to follow Anglo-American policies toward Iran. Is this story about German incompetence, or just another indication of declining American power? I mean, what are you guys going to DO about the sales?

    How about a post on what US policy should be once Iran gets all the equipment it wants.

  4. J. Moye says:

    I can’t help but remark on the double standard whereby Israel is known to have hundreds of undeclared, uninspected nuclear weapons, yet is not sanctioned for having them, while Iran is severely sanctioned merely for activities that might eventually contribute to its to build nuclear weapons.

    Why is Israel “allowed” to defend against a hypothetical existential threat with actual nuclear weapons, while Iran is “forbidden” to work towards a theoretical capacity to build them? Is the continued existence of the Jewish state more important than the continued existence of the Persian state?

    1. 20committee says:

      Those are fair questions. I think the real answer is that nobody thinks anyone in Israel would use nukes except in extremis; neither I nor others have the same degree of confidence in Tehran. Note that in the 1970s Israel – then an Iranian ally – had no trouble with the Shah trying to get a nuke.

      1. J. Moye says:

        For the record – the only times in history a country used nuclear weapons in war was when it had a monopoly on them.

        While I certainly don’t put much past the current Iranian government, I find it hard to believe it would do anything that would lead to the country’s destruction. The Persians are one of the great peoples of the world, and are as keenly aware of their history as any other. Intentional national suicide just doesn’t seem like something the leadership would be keen on.

        More likely, the fact that the US has never attacked a country that has actual nuclear weapons, rather than just an alleged desire to build some, is what motivates the Iranians to consider doing just that,

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